Based on our painful experiences, we know that it’s not the earthquake itself, a natural phenomenon, which kills and causes considerable economic losses, but non-durable buildings, bridges and infrastructure.
Scientific studies, which were prompted largely by the Great Marmara Earthquake of August 17, 1999, indicate that Istanbul is due for a massive and destructive earthquake. There are statistical predictions in this regard. These predictions are based on forecasting and estimations of approximately 2000 years of earthquake history in Istanbul. The probability of a massive earthquake is 5-10 times greater in Istanbul compared to other cities in Turkey. However, it does not mean that the earthquake will hit tomorrow.
The important thing is that the people living in Istanbul must learn to live with this reality.